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Remember the days when the biggest decision you had to make about a car purchase was whether you wanted front- or rear-wheel drive? Things have changed a lot.
For well over 100 years, personal transportation in the U.S. has been dominated by gas-powered vehicles. But the market is evolving quickly, thanks to the popularity of some electric vehicles (EVs) — and a very big government effort to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and build out a nationwide charging infrastructure.
The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has predicted that by 2032 nearly 70 percent of auto sales will be of all-electric vehicles. Some analysts expect to see market gains even earlier with up to 50 percent of all cars sold being EVs by 2027, according to a white paper published this year by the International Council on Clean Transportation. That would be a huge leap, as EVs made up just 5.8 percent of the market in 2022, according to Cox Automotive, an automotive services company.
One of the reasons for this predicted surge is a new set of proposed EPA guidelines around emissions of certain pollutants and CO₂. The proposed requirements would encourage automakers to sell a large number of zero-emission vehicles by 2027 in order to meet emissions targets.
Here’s a helpful guide to the automobile buying landscape — whether you’re looking at an EV, a hybrid or a traditional model — and what you can expect to see in the future.
The EV market
Rebates and tax credits: Potential emissions restrictions aren’t the only thing impacting purchasing. A $7,500 federal tax rebate for some EVs has been extended, but there are lots of restrictions and not all EVs will be eligible for the rebate — those assembled outside the U.S., for example, generally don’t qualify. Vehicles that do qualify must be made using certain minerals for their batteries and a set number of components that are domestically sourced.
However, car companies whose vehicles don’t currently meet the requirements are making moves to meet the U.S. government’s rules. Korea-based Hyundai, for example, recently announced plans to open a $5 billion battery plant in Georgia to meet the domestic battery sourcing requirements of the bill.
Consumers must also meet basic criteria to get a tax credit on EV purchases. A couple’s adjusted gross income can’t exceed $300,000 or $150,000 for individual buyers. In addition, only SUVs under $80,000 and cars under $55,000 qualify, and they must be built in North America. Because the rules and status of vehicles are constantly changing, either check out the EPA’s page on which models currently qualify or see Edmund’s page with similar information.
Pricing: So what does all this mean for purchasing costs? Different things, says Bob Gritzinger, editor-in-chief of WardsAuto.com, an industry research and analyst firm.
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