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If it’s February, it must be Awards Season. But that’s actually something new: The traditional string of awards shows, from the Golden Globes to the Oscars (and everyone’s favorite Movies for Grownups Awards!), used to kick off in January, but this year it’s different (like everything else in life, it seems). First, top awards shows delayed their ceremonies and broadcasts by weeks or months, praying that COVID would relent. The Palm Springs Film Festival, crucial to promoting foreign Oscar hopefuls, was canceled. The Golden Globes “happened” but were not on TV (although in this case owing to the organization’s ethical scandals, not COVID). It’s feared the Oscars broadcast, scheduled for March 27, will even underperform last year’s all-time, COVID-driven low of 10.4 million viewers (the show’s high-water mark was 55 million in 1998 — the year of Titanic).
But the shows must go on, and there’s still plenty of awards drama to get excited about. Here’s a guide to the big awards coming up and who’s apt to win. And if you watch the contenders, you’ll be the winner.
Feb. 26: NAACP Image Awards
Why they’re important: At a time of horrible news, the biggest change for the good in Hollywood is the rise of Black talent (and about time). The Image Awards are a good way to track who’s hottest in movies and TV.
Our critics predict: Netflix wins! It has the most nominations — 52 — including The Harder They Fall, Passing, Bruised, The Upshaws and Maid. But Judas and the Black Messiah and King Richard are likeliest for outstanding motion picture and the show’s host, Anthony Anderson, for outstanding actor in a comedy series (the must-see black-ish).
When: Feb. 26, 8 p.m. ET on BET
Feb. 27: Screen Actors Guild Awards
Why they’re important: The members of the actors’ union SAG-AFTRA definitely influence the Oscar voters, and their ensemble award helps predict the best picture nominees. They cover both TV and film. Kevin Costner’s smash hit Yellowstone, whose popularity arose mostly in America’s heartland, was mostly ignored by coastal showbiz powers, but SAG nominated it.
Our critics predict: Squid Game, Yellowstone or Succession for TV; House of Gucci, CODA or Belfast for film. But our favorite is Helen Mirren, who is already announced as the winner of the SAG Lifetime Achievement Award.
When: Feb. 27, 8 p.m. ET on TNT and TBS