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AARP Poll: Georgia U.S. Senate Elections Are Dead Heats

Top issues for voters 50-plus are honesty in government, jobs, Social Security, coronavirus


spinner image georgia twenty twenty senate runoff election candidates top row republican incumbent david purdue and challenger democrat jon ossof second row incumbent repubilcan kelly loeffler and challenger democrat raphael warnock
Spencer Platt/Staff, Jessica McGowan / Stringer, Icon Sportswire /Getty Images

Two Jan. 5 runoff elections that will decide which political party controls the U.S. Senate for the next two years are statistical ties, according to a new AARP public opinion poll. However, the survey shows that Republican Sens. David Perdue and Kelly Loeffler lead their Democratic challengers by 11 percentage points among voters 50-plus.

Early voting for the two elections began Monday. The state began distributing absentee ballots Nov. 18.

The survey has Democrat Jon Ossoff narrowly leading Perdue, the incumbent, 48 percent to 46 percent among all Georgia voters, with Democrat Raphael Warnock edging incumbent Loeffler 47 percent to 46 percent. Both results are within the survey's margin of error. Among 50-plus voters, Perdue and Loeffler lead their Democratic challengers by identical margins: 53 percent to 42 percent.

If the two incumbents are victorious on Jan. 5, Republicans will retain control of the U.S. Senate by a 52-48 majority. If the two challengers win, the Senate will be tied 50-50, but the Democrats would be in the majority because in her role as president of the Senate, Vice President-elect Kamala Harris would provide the tie-breaking vote.

Georgia voters have mostly made up their minds on whom they will vote for, according to the survey, which found that just 5 percent of respondents were undecided. The runoff elections became necessary when none of the Senate candidates garnered at least 50 percent of the votes in November. Georgia is one of just two states that require runoff elections when no candidate for a seat in Congress wins a majority of the votes in the general election.

“These results show that both races are a dead heat and time is running out for candidates to address the concerns of 50-plus voters,” says Debra Tyler-Horton, AARP’s Georgia state director. “To win, candidates must discuss the issues that matter to 50-plus Georgians now — like preventing cuts to Social Security and Medicare, lowering drug prices and protecting seniors in nursing homes.”      

AARP also asked Georgia voters their opinions on a number of issues. Among the major findings:

  • Among Georgians 50 and older, 55 percent would be willing to take a COVID-19 vaccine if it was approved by the Food and Drug Administration and provided free to Americans, but a third say they would not agree to be vaccinated. The first coronavirus vaccines were being delivered to states on Monday, with health care workers and nursing home residents and staff the first groups targeted for vaccination.
  • A majority of all voters (61 percent) and even more 50-plus voters (69 percent) say that it’s more important for elected officials to support Social Security and Medicare than to reduce the federal deficit.
  • Honesty in government is the highest-rated issue among 50-plus voters, with 56 percent ranking it extremely important as they decide whom to vote for on Jan. 5. Jobs and the economy (49 percent), Social Security (45 percent) and the coronavirus (42 percent) are the next most important issues to 50-plus voters.
  • The majority of 50-plus voters prefer a candidate who focuses on providing financial relief to people and businesses hurt by the economic slowdown over a candidate focused on deficit reduction.

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