Javascript is not enabled.

Javascript must be enabled to use this site. Please enable Javascript in your browser and try again.

Skip to content
Content starts here
CLOSE ×
Search
CLOSE ×
Search
Leaving AARP.org Website

You are now leaving AARP.org and going to a website that is not operated by AARP. A different privacy policy and terms of service will apply.

What Happens to Social Security in a Budget Impasse?

Even in a shutdown, benefits would be paid, but stalemate on spending could hit customer service


spinner image collage of a social security card a fan of twenty dollar bills and the dome of the u s capitol
BACKYARDPRODUCTION/GETTY IMAGES

Congress has until Dec. 20 to adopt a new budget for the 2025 federal fiscal year or pass a so-called continuing resolution (CR) to temporarily maintain government funding at 2024 levels. Failure to do one or the other before the deadline would result in a government shutdown.

Even in a shutdown, Social Security recipients would continue getting their monthly payments. But Social Security Administration (SSA) officials say continuing to operate under a CR, as the government has done since the new fiscal year started Oct. 1, would have a significant impact on its operations and customer service.

The agency instituted a hiring freeze Nov. 21, an SSA spokesperson says, and without a budget that increases administrative funding, “we soon expect to reach a 50-year low in staffing, even as the number of customers we serve reaches a new record high each day.”

Such a staffing hit would likely increase hold times for callers to the SSA’s national toll-free number, which have declined sharply in the past year; delay processing of benefit claims; and raise the prospect of employee furloughs and periodic closures of local Social Security offices, the spokesperson says.

A November 2024 AARP survey of Americans ages 50-plus found overwhelming support across party lines for increasing Social Security’s administrative and customer service spending. Eighty-five percent of respondents backed a bigger budget, including 92 percent of Democrats, 82 percent of independents and 80 percent of Republicans.

"Americans expect reliable, quality customer service every time they call Social Security. It's Congress's duty to ensure these expectations are met, and the time to act is now,” says Bill Sweeney, senior vice president of government affairs for AARP. “They must listen to their constituents and deliver the funding necessary to improve Social Security customer service."

Mandatory vs. discretionary spending

In federal parlance, Social Security benefits are “mandatory spending.” They have a dedicated, permanent funding source (primarily, the payroll taxes most of us pay on our work income) and are not affected by the federal budget appropriations process.

The SSA is not immune from the shutdown threat, however. Its administrative budget is discretionary — that is, subject to annual congressional approval. Lawmakers determine how much of Social Security’s revenue can go toward operating expenses, such as processing benefit applications, renting space for local offices and paying employees’ salaries.

Congress has repeatedly used stopgap CRs in recent years to keep the government running as the House and Senate struggled to pass regular budget bills. For example, the 2024 federal budget was adopted in late March, nearly six months into that fiscal year.

The 2024 budget authorized the SSA to spend $14.2 billion — about 1 percent of its revenue — on customer service and operations. While that represented a $100 million increase from the previous year, the Center for Budget and Policy Priorities, a Washington, D.C., think tank, estimates that, adjusted for inflation, Social Security’s customer service budget shrank by 19 percent from 2010 to 2024 while the number of beneficiaries grew by 25 percent.

The SSA, like the rest of the federal government, is currently operating under a continuing resolution that maintains fiscal 2024 funding levels. President Biden proposed a $15.4 billion SSA operating budget for 2025, while the House Appropriations Committee has proposed $13.8 billion.

Shortly before leaving office at the end of November, former Social Security Commissioner Martin O’Malley told a House committee that the SSA would “lose over 2,000 staff in the first half of the fiscal year” if Congress maintains current funding levels with another continuing resolution.

Try Our Social Security Calculator

Use AARP’s Social Security Calculator to find out when to apply and how much you’ll get.

“We would likely have to reduce the hours field offices are open to the public and may even need to close offices over time,” O’Malley said. He predicted that the average hold time for callers to the SSA’s national help line (800-772-1213), which had dropped from about 42 minutes in November 2023 to just under 13 minutes in October 2024, would rise again.

Shutdown plan

In the event of a government shutdown, which most recently occurred over the winter of 2018-19, the SSA has a detailed contingency plan laying out how it would operate. It states that the agency “will continue activities critical to our direct-service operations and those needed to ensure accurate and timely payment of benefits.”

Payroll tax revenue will continue to go into the trust funds that supply money to cover retirement benefits, survivor benefits , family benefits and Social Security Disability Insurance (SSDI), and the SSA says it has legal authority to process payments even if congressional appropriations lapse.

The SSA also administers Supplemental Security Income (SSI), a safety-net benefit for people with very low incomes who are visually impaired, have a disability or are age 65 and older. While SSI is paid out of general government revenues, the SSA says it has enough previously appropriated money to continue making SSI payments for the next three months, longer than any past shutdown. 

Under the shutdown plan, the SSA says it would be able to keep most of its staff on board and maintain essential functions and services, such as paying benefits, processing benefit applications and appeals, holding disability hearings, and issuing new and replacement Social Security cards.

Some Social Security services and activities would be suspended in the immediate aftermath of a shutdown, among them benefit verifications, processing overpayments, information-technology improvements, public relations and training. If a shutdown lasts more than five days, the SSA says, it would “reevaluate” whether furloughs are necessary but would retain workers “critical to our direct-service operations.”

Unlock Access to AARP Members Edition

Join AARP to Continue

Already a Member?